Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000698 0.000793 0.000895 0.001009 0.001136 0.001270 0.001423
2025-08-24 0.000531 0.000661 0.000808 0.000985 0.001192 0.001425 0.001705
2025-08-31 0.000434 0.000575 0.000743 0.000954 0.001211 0.001510 0.001883
2025-09-07 0.000373 0.000523 0.000709 0.000951 0.001256 0.001622 0.002089
2025-09-14 0.000328 0.000483 0.000683 0.000952 0.001300 0.001728 0.002288
2025-09-21 0.000287 0.000444 0.000652 0.000942 0.001327 0.001811 0.002458
2025-09-28 0.000250 0.000406 0.000620 0.000926 0.001342 0.001877 0.002605
2025-10-05 0.000233 0.000393 0.000620 0.000952 0.001412 0.002015 0.002846
2025-10-12 0.000216 0.000379 0.000615 0.000970 0.001472 0.002138 0.003071
2025-10-19 0.000193 0.000353 0.000593 0.000961 0.001492 0.002210 0.003228
2025-10-26 0.000172 0.000328 0.000569 0.000947 0.001504 0.002267 0.003366
2025-11-02 0.000159 0.000315 0.000562 0.000957 0.001549 0.002372 0.003570
2025-11-09 0.000144 0.000299 0.000549 0.000958 0.001581 0.002460 0.003755
2025-11-16 0.000125 0.000272 0.000517 0.000928 0.001565 0.002480 0.003844
2025-11-23 0.000109 0.000248 0.000488 0.000900 0.001552 0.002500 0.003934
2025-11-30 0.000099 0.000235 0.000476 0.000897 0.001575 0.002574 0.004101
2025-12-07 0.000091 0.000224 0.000466 0.000898 0.001603 0.002656 0.004279
2025-12-14 0.000082 0.000210 0.000450 0.000889 0.001615 0.002713 0.004423
2025-12-21 0.000072 0.000195 0.000432 0.000873 0.001616 0.002752 0.004541
2025-12-28 0.000070 0.000193 0.000437 0.000898 0.001682 0.002892 0.004810
2026-01-04 0.000066 0.000190 0.000438 0.000915 0.001737 0.003016 0.005057
2026-01-11 0.000059 0.000179 0.000425 0.000907 0.001748 0.003072 0.005205
2026-01-18 0.000053 0.000168 0.000410 0.000893 0.001751 0.003114 0.005329